Assumptions for the 2026-2027 TPP

The Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) process develops a resource portfolio(s) annually as a key input to the California Independent System Operator's (CAISO) Transmission Planning Process (TPP) base case studies, which includes a reliability base case portfolio and a policy-driven base case portfolio. The California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) may also transmit additional resource portfolios as inputs for sensitivity studies that test the implications of various policy futures. This page contains documentation relevant to the development and mapping of resource portfolios for the 2026-2027 TPP.

Proposed Decision Transmitting Electricity Resource Portfolios to the California Independent System Operator for 2026-2027 Transmission Planning Process and Ruling Development Materials

• Proposed Decision Transmitting Electricity Resource Portfolios to the California Independent System Operator for 2026-2027 Transmission Planning Process, 1/14/2026
• Fact Sheet on 2026-27 TPP Proposed Decision, 1/27/2026
• Presentation summarizing updated RESOLVE and SERVM Analysis, 1/27/2026

Transmission Planning Process Ruling and Ruling Development Materials

• 2026-2027 TPP Busbar Mapping Ruling, 11/3/2026
• 2026-2027 Transmission Planning Process Portfolio Ruling, 9/30/2025
  • 2026-2027 Transmission Planning Process RESOLVE Analysis Slide Deck, 9/30/2025
    • 2026-2027 Transmission Planning Process RESOLVE Analysis Slide Deck with corrected slides, 10/13/2025
      • Updates: Slides 79, 106, 109, and 126 on System Cost Comparison Metrics, removed slide in the DCPP Extension section (originally slide 98) due to duplication, and formatting adjustments
  • 2026-2027 Transmission Planning Process RESOLVE Package analysis, 10/6/2025 Note: These zip files are big, it is advised to download and open locally
    • Raw RESOLVE Outputs
      • Unprocessed RESOLVE outputs for Lease-Cost Comparison Case (TPP_Lease_Cost). Proposed Base Case (TPP_AB1373_Delayed_OSW).  Proposed Sensitivity Case (TPP_Limited_Wind), GHG Reductions to 25 MMT(TPP_25MMT), DCPP Extension (TPP_Limited_Wind)
    • RESOLVE Code Base and Inputs
      • Code base and template Scenario Tool and Results Viewer, and inputs used for RESOLVE modeling
    • RESOLVE Upstream Data Workbooks and Public Case Results Viewers
      • Workbooks upstream of the RESOLVE Scenario Tool, Baseline Resources and Transmission Workbook, and Results Viewer for Least-Cost Comparison Case, Proposed Base Case, Proposed Sensitivity Case, GHG Reductions to 25 MMT, DCPP Extension
  • Updated Framework for Portfolio Selection, 9/30/2025
    • Red-lined Framework for Portfolio Selection, 9/30/2025

Methodology for Resource-to-Busbar Mapping

The busbar mapping methodology states guiding principles, establishes mapping criteria, and outlines the iterative inter-agency mapping process. 

• Methodology for Resource-to-Busbar Mapping for the Annual TPP, Ruling version, 9/30/2025
  • Red--lined Methodology for Resource-to-Busbar Mapping for the Annual TPP (red-lined from the 2025-2026 TPP version), 9/30/2025

Modeling Assumption and Busbar Mapping Report for the 2026-2027 TPP

• Proposed Decision Resource-to-Busbar Mapping & Other Modeling Assumptions Report, 1/26/2026

Busbar Mapping for the Proposed Decision

• Full Dashboard for the PD 26-27 TPP Base Case, 1/16/2026
  • This workbook is ~35 MB and includes a summary of the mapping results as well as the full analysis, including the calculations, equations, and data used to conduct the mapping and assess the criteria alignment.
• Compact Dashboard for the PD 26-27 TPP Base Case, 1/16/2026
  • The version of the dashboard is 12 MB and is the smaller, compact version of the mapping results.  It includes only the results (fixed numbers) and not the equations, calculations, and supporting reference data that is used to conduct the busbar mapping analysis.
• Full Dashboard for the PD 26-27 Low Wind Sensitivity, 1/16/2026
  • The workbook is ~35 MB and includes a summary of the initial mapping results as well as the full analysis, including the calculations, equations, and data used to conduct the mapping and assess the criteria alignment.
• Compact Dashboard for the PD 26-27 Low Wind Sensitivity, 1/16/2026
  • The version of the dashboard is 14 MB and is the smaller, compact version of the mapping results.  It includes only the results (fixed numbers) and not the equations, calculations, and supporting reference data that is used to conduct the busbar mapping analysis.

Supplemental Workbooks for PD Busbar Mapping

• Update Baseline Reconciliation and in-development resources, 1/14/2026
• Updated Commercial Interest analysis from CAISO's interconnection queue, 1/14/2026
• Updated Gas Capacity Not Retained, 1/14/2026
• TPD Allocations by Busbar, 1/14/2026

Initial Mapping Results for the Proposed Base Case

The Initial Busbar Mapping Dashboard for the Base Case summarizes the initial mapping results, the mapped resources alignment with the busbar criteria, and the analysis used to assess that alignment.

• Full Dashboard – Initial Mapping for the 26-27 TPP Base Case (11/3/2025)
  • This workbook is ~32 MB and includes a summary of the initial mapping results as well as the full analysis, including the calculations, equations, and data used to conduct the mapping and assess the criteria alignment. If an error occurs when downloading, staff recommends using Chrome or Firefox browser. 
• Compact Dashboard – Initial Mapping for the 26-27 TPP Base Case (11/3/2025) 
  • This version of the dashboard is ~10 MB and is the smaller, compact version of the mapping results. It includes only the results (fixed numbers) and not the equations, calculations, and supporting reference data that is used to conduct the busbar mapping analysis.
• Supplemental data workbooks for initial mapping effort.
  • Baseline Reconciliation and In-development resources, (11/5/2025)
  • Land-use and Environmental Screens data, (11/5/2025)
    • Updated Land-use Environmental Screens data, (12/10/2025)
      • Updated to correct errata.  It includes some missing substations, and removes existing project footprints from resource potential.
  • Commercial Interest Analysis, (11/5/2025)  
  • Gas Capacity Not Retained, (11/52025)

Webinar - 11/12/2025 - IRP Webinar on the Proposed 2026-27 Transmission Planning Process Portfolios and Preliminary Busbar Mapping Results

• Objectives
  • Familiarize stakeholders with proposed portfolios and busbar mapping process.
  • Review the preliminary mapping results for the proposed base case portfolio.
  • Provide an opportunity for stakeholders to ask clarifying questions about busbar mapping process and preliminary mapping results.
• Noticing Document (contains the webinar link)
• CPUC slides, 11/12/2025
• CEC slides, 11/12/2025  
• Webinar Recording
• Webinar Q&A, 11/14/2025
• Supporting Land Use Datasets for Busbar Mapping 

Webinar – 08/19/2025 – IRP Webinar on Potential Updates to the Busbar Mapping Methodology

• Objectives
  • Provide an overview of the busbar mapping process and its role in the transmission planning process.
  • Present updated datasets from the CEC for use in the mapping criteria.
  • Familiarize stakeholders with the potential updates to the criteria and the criteria alignment thresholds.
  • Give opportunity to stakeholders to ask questions and provide comments on the busbar mapping methodology and the proposed criteria updates.
  • Request stakeholders’ informal written feedback to be incorporated in the final updated methodology.

1. CPUC slides
2. CEC slides
   • Proposed Updates to the Land Use and Environmental Geospatial Data
3. Webinar Q&A
4. Webinar Recording