2013 Potential and Goals Study

2013 Potential & Goals Study

The primary objective of the Potential & Goals Study is to provide a comprehensive quantitative and qualitative assessment of energy savings potential from a variety of perspectives in order to help the CPUC frame and choose energy efficiency goals in a way that best meets the CPUC’s policy objectives. As Phase 2 of the Analysis to Update Energy Efficiency Potential, Goals, and Targets, this study builds upon the 2011 Potential Study to establish scenarios for demand forecasting and IOU program planning. The 2013 Potential & Goals Study will inform the 2015 portfolio guidance.  

The 2013 Potential and Goals Study final were published on March 3, 2014 and will be voted on by the Commission for adoption: 

2013 Potential and Goals Model

Analytica Installer File (you will need this to run the model if you have not installed it with prior releases. Note this installs a 64-bit Player Edition of Analytica) http://downloads.analyticaonline.com/ana/Ana64Setup4_5_3.exe

Three important notes regarding model size and run times:
1. The model file is very large (~620MB) due to the size and dimension of the data it contains. It has been compressed in a zip file, but it will slow down other functionality on most computers. Consider shutting down other applications before opening the model. The model takes a couple of minutes to load when opening.
2. Most computers are capable of running results for a single service territory at a time. Running all commercial building types for a single service territory should take less than 10-15 minutes. Running a single building type should take a few minutes.
3. Running multiple service territories at once may crash some machines because it requires computational capacity beyond that of a typical desktop machine. A dialogue box will notify the user when interface settings require computational requirements that are beyond most standard computers’ capabilities. 

Site and Measures Database  

The Industrial Assessment Center (IAC) Database available here references information from a Department of Energy initiative. This initiative carried out by the IAC includes identifying potential energy savings in industrial facilities. The IAC’s 24 centers found around the country provide free energy efficiency assessments to qualifying facilities in their vicinity (http://www1.eere.energy.gov/manufacturing/tech_assistance/iacs.html). 

This Access Database available here organizes the IAC source data to facilitate filtering and sorting for various NAICS subsectors, end-uses, fuels, vintages, etc. The original IAC source data is maintained by DOE and available for download at the following link as an Excel Zip file (http://iac.rutgers.edu/database/). 

The 2013 Potential and Goals Study draft were published on November 26, 2013. The model outputs were adopted by the CA Energy Commission and CA Independent System Operator for the joint Additional Achievable Energy Efficiency Load Forecast: