2025 Potential and Goals Study

2025 Potential and Goals

The page includes all materials and data for the in-process 2025 Potential and Goals Study. It also includes information about past and upcoming activities conducted by the Commission during the process of creating the 2025 update of the Energy Efficiency Potential Goals Study. The Potential and Goals Study will inform the Commission's next adoption of updated Energy Efficiency Goals, scheduled for 2025.

2025 Potential and Goals Final Workplan

The 2025 Potential and Goals Final Workplan, which details the approach to the upcoming PGS cycle, is linked below:

Draft 2025 PGS Study Resources:

*note that a tableau viewer displaying information contained in the graph generator files will be posted by May 19th.

*Comments on the draft and ruling are formal and should be filed under docket R.25-04-010.  Opening comments are due May 23rd and reply comments are due May 30th.  The ruling inviting comments and questions can be found here.

 

Upcoming Workshops and Stakeholder Engagement

None at this time

 

Past Workshops and Stakeholder Engagement

Draft Results

The CPUC hosted a webinar to present the Draft 2025 Energy Efficiency (EE) Potential and Goals Study (PGS).

  • The recording is available here.| (Password: PGStudy2025)
  • The slide deck is available here.

Proposed Scenarios

The CPUC hosted a webinar to outline and discuss draft forecast scenarios under consideration for the 2025 Potential and Goals Study.

  • The recording is available here (password: ZcQDVFS9) 
  • The slide deck is available here.

We solicited informational stakeholder comments and feedback on the proposed scenarios due by October 4, 2024 via email. Stakeholders were asked to consider the following questions:

  • Based on the presentation summary, do the CPUC staff proposed scenarios capture a reasonable range that can inform goal setting?
    • C-E thresholds?
    • Incentive levels?
  • What key variables should be the focus of scenario design?
  • Are there any structural factors that play into current PA goal attainment levels that should inform the study?
  • CPUC staff aim to choose 4 scenarios - do you have suggestions for specific scenarios to consider?
  • Do you agree with our proposed approach for modeling CARB's proposed zero-emission standard for space and water heaters?
    • Should we model the proposed 2027 component differently? If so, how?
  • Our analysis of FS potential will again incorporate the TECH incentives, reducing effective measure cost.  Do you agree with this approach?  Should other approaches or non-IOU incentives be considered? 
  • Is our inclusion of IRA tax credits statistics for the Residential Sector reasonable, including as a basis for our proposed high-IRA Scenario?

Measure Characterization

We solicited informal stakeholder comments and feedback on the proposed residential and commercial (ResCom) Measure list due by June 12, 2024 via email.  Stakeholders were asked to consider the following questions:

  • Are there additional measures or technologies that should be included? Or proposed measures that should be excluded?
  • If so, which are the highest priority to incorporate into the 2025 Study?
  • Do you have program and measure (including fuel substitution) data to share that’s not available via eTRM/DEER/Workpapers or CEDARS? 

The Proposed Measure List and Overview README File are linked below:

Proposed Measure List

Measure List Overview and Methodology_README

 

2025 Energy Efficiency (EE) Potential and Goals Study (PGS) Draft Workplan   

2025 Energy Efficiency (EE) Potential and Goals Study (PGS) Updates
The CPUC hosted a webinar to present proposed updates to the 2025 Energy Efficiency (EE) Potential and Goals Study (PGS) model, and a revised timeline.

  • The recording is available here (password: 7kCXe7CJ)
  • The slide deck is available here