Energy Resource Modeling Projects

This page lists modeling and other analytical work products categorized by project area.  Projects are typically associated with a specific CPUC proceeding. 

System Reliability Modeling Datasets 2023

• System Reliability Modeling Datasets 2023

Unified RA and IRP Modeling Datasets 2022

• Link to dataset page
• Link to 2022 IRP Cycle Events and Materials page

2022 Avoided Cost Calculator Modeling Results

• Hourly Energy Price and Dispatch (Zip file, updated 5-20-2022)
• Heat Maps of Energy Prices, by region and year (Zip folder, updated 5-20-2022)
• Changes to SERVM made since 2020 ACC (word doc, updated 7-25-2022)

2021 Preferred System Plan Modeling

• 38 MMT Average Annual System Metrics 2026 - (Updated 11-16-2021)
• Hourly dispatch data, unreserved energy and reserves summary - (updated 11-4-2021)

Resource Adequacy Modeling and Analytics 

• Ruling on Updated Energy Division ELCC Proposal (RA Proceeding) - 02-13-19
• Updated Energy Division ELCC Proposal Slide Deck - 02-05-19
• R.14-10-010 Revised Monthly LOLE and ELCC Proposal  - 02-24-17
• Revised ED Staff ELCC and LOLE proposal 3-26-2016
• ED Staff and LOLE proposal 1-15-2016
• Resource Adequacy Probabilistic Reliability Modeling Inputs and Assumptions - Part Two - July 8, 2015
• ED Draft Staff ELCC Results - July 8, 2015
• Effective Load Carrying Capability and Qualifying Capacity Calculation Methodology for Wind and Solar Resources - January 16, 2014
• Draft Staff Proposal for Qualifying Capacity and Effective Flexible Capacity Calculations Methodologies for Energy Storage and Supply-Side Demand Response Resources - September 13, 2013  

Peak Shift Analysis  

Presented at a Demand Analysis Working Group (DAWG) meeting Nov 3, 2016  

• CPUC Peak Load Shift - November 3, 2016

Exceedance Analysis

Coming soon

IRP Modeling and Analytics 

2017-18 Integrated Resource Plan proceeding key modeling documents and data

2017-18 IRP Events and Materials

Unified RA and IRP Modeling Datasets 2018

Guide to Production Cost Modeling in the IRP Proceeding (Attachment B to D.18-02-018)

Attachment A to ruling: Guide to Production Cost Modeling in IRP – 11/15/18

Unified Inputs and Assumptions for RA and IRP, Guidance for Production Cost Modeling and Network Reliability Studies (3-29-2019)

2019-20 Integrated Resource Plan proceeding key modeling documents and data

2019-20 IRP Events and Materials

Unified RA and IRP Modeling Datasets 2019

21st Century Energy Systems (CES-21) Project Documents  

For background, the final report, and data, go to the IRP Modeling Advisory Group home page and see the files listed under the heading “Workshop 1 – 8/15/2017”

Jan 6, 2016 workshop